12
Greymara
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 29/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |