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3

Gwo Ka

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 22/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 13022/08C5C5 @ Compiegne 16/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 130C5 @ Compiegne 10/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 12710/10C54 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y Sft 1324 @ Strasbourg 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 12218/0443 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1253 @ ParisLongchamp 21/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 11921/0534 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y GS 1353 @ Compiegne 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12510/073projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Compiegne35th5th0
2026-06-16Strasbourg410th11th−1
2026-05-21ParisLongchamp314th14th0
2026-05-08Strasbourg35th5th0
2026-04-18Strasbourg47th8th−1
2026-03-22Strasbourg411th12th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0822/0321/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20253rd13/266%78%+0.12
16/09/20255th11/142%56%+0.13
10/10/20259th11/142%33%-0.09
22/03/202611th50/10%33%+0.33
18/04/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
08/05/20265th33/10%67%+0.67
21/05/202614th33/10%13%+0.13
16/06/202610th18/15%40%+0.35
10/07/20265th25/10%56%+0.56