9

Libyan Knight
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 23/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |