9

Libyan Knight

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 08/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1288/11C5C5 @ Chantilly 06/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 128C5 @ Deauville 23/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12823/12C53 @ Deauville 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Std 130C5 @ Chantilly 13/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12513/02C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 128C5 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 12811/04C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 128C5 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 1286/07C5projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Clairefontaine?3rd5th2
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?7th9th2
2026-04-11Fontainebleau?7th9th2
2026-03-13Fontainebleau?6th8th2
2026-02-13Chantilly?2nd4th2
2026-01-23Deauville33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1123/0111/046/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20258th3/184%50%-0.34
06/12/20253rd5/287%83%-0.04
23/12/20255th5/174%67%-0.07
23/01/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
13/02/20262nd9/488%91%+0.03
13/03/20266th4/179%38%-0.41
11/04/20267th11/142%40%-0.02
20/04/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
06/07/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25