6
Mourat
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#13
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 15/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 09/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |