5
My Secret Light
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Mans | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pau | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 23/12/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.33 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |