4
Queen D'aunou
4yo Filly · 9-7
Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 58% | -0.30 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 20/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 09/02/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |
| 29/03/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |