8

Soligny

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Clairefontaine · Vaches Normandes - Prix des Sources Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 23/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12823/10C5C5 @ Cholet 02/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 128C5 @ Dieppe 07/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 1287/07C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 130C0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 13011/09C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 21/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 128C0 @ Deauville 07/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1307/11C?3 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1284 @ Angers 02/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 1352/054projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02Angers413th14th1
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud312th12th0
2025-11-07Deauville?5th5th0
2025-10-21Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2025-09-11ParisLongchamp?11th11th0
2025-08-06Clairefontaine?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/106/087/112/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20248th10/147%0%-0.47
02/06/20257th17/255%14%-0.41
07/07/20255th16/116%33%+0.18
06/08/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
11/09/202511th11/142%17%-0.25
21/10/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
07/11/20255th6/168%67%-0.02
03/04/202612th18/15%8%+0.03
02/05/202613th18/15%8%+0.02