12
Black Sugar
4yo Filly · 9-3
Clairefontaine · Ane du Cotentin - Prix des Enclos Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |