10
Brivido Moon
4yo Colt · 9-3
Clairefontaine · Ane du Cotentin - Prix des Enclos Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 42% | -0.21 |
| 05/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |