5
Roman Skies
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Clairefontaine · Ane du Cotentin - Prix des Enclos Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 06/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |