2
The Last Foal
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Clairefontaine · Ane du Cotentin - Prix des Enclos Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Le Mans | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 24/05/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |