11

Torreador

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Clairefontaine · Ane du Cotentin - Prix des Enclos Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 02/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 1282/07C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 128C5 @ Pornichet 19/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 12919/01C54 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 123C5 @ Pornichet 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12725/03C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1283 @ ParisLongchamp 24/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS24/053C5 @ Dieppe 09/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1289/07C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Dieppe?10th11th1
2026-05-24ParisLongchamp33rd2nd+1
2026-04-20Le Lion D'angers?2nd3rd1
2026-03-25Pornichet?3rd4th1
2026-02-27Pornichet45th5th0
2026-01-19Pornichet?14th15th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0727/0224/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20258th9/276%13%-0.64
20/09/202510th20/10%0%0.00
19/01/202614th16/116%0%-0.16
27/02/20265th40/10%33%+0.33
25/03/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56
20/04/20262nd15/261%92%+0.32
24/05/20263rd7/282%83%+0.02
09/07/202610th10/147%10%-0.37