6
Ultraspi
4yo Filly · 9-5
Clairefontaine · Ane du Cotentin - Prix des Enclos Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-07-10 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/08/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |