5
Balakovna
6yo Mare · 9-4
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 05/07/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 22/07/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 25/03/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 79% | +0.13 |