4
Havana Six
7yo Mare · 9-4
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 2 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 23/12/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 47% | -0.22 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 03/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/03/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 21% | -0.21 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 28/04/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |