12
Joyce Galeste
7yo Mare · 8-4
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 27/12/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/02/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 21/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |