7
Lorne
7yo Mare · 9-2
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-01-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-12-23 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2024-09-27 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 24/08/2024 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |
| 13/09/2024 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 27/09/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 01/12/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/12/2024 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 20/01/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 28/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |