1

Maple Taffy
4yo Filly · 9-6
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Deauville | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 12/08/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 02/11/2025 | 14th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 08/03/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 28/04/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |