8
Rio
5yo Filly · 8-13
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Pornichet | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength86%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/07/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 19/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 79% | +0.05 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |