10
Romance Marine
5yo Filly · 8-10
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 24/02/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 36% | -0.20 |
| 24/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 02/04/2026 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 16/07/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |