2
Spring Heart
5yo Filly · 9-5
Clairefontaine · Chevres des Fosses - Prix Air de Cour Handicap · 1m 208y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/09/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |
| 11/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 20/02/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 9% | -0.44 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 54% | -0.01 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |