4

American Glory

5yo Filly · 9-3

Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y

#11

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Cloud 26/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 13226/10C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 128C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 14/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12514/01C?2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/02/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1293 @ Marseille 16/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12416/0233 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1222 @ Marseille-borely 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12010/0422 @ Marseille-borely 18/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1252 @ Aix-Les-Bains 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12214/072projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Aix-Les-Bains22nd2nd0
2026-05-18Marseille-borely213th13th0
2026-04-10Marseille-borely25th5th0
2026-03-17Fontainebleau31st2nd1
2026-02-16Marseille35th6th1
2026-02-04Cagnes-sur-Mer215th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/104/0210/0414/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/202514th8/158%13%-0.45
13/11/20253rd25/10%87%+0.87
14/01/20269th22/10%47%+0.47
04/02/202615th4/179%7%-0.72
16/02/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
17/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
10/04/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
18/05/202613th14/126%8%-0.19
14/07/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01