4

American Glory
5yo Filly · 9-3
Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y
#11
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-16 | Marseille | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 14/01/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 04/02/2026 | 15th | 4/1 | 79% | 7% | -0.72 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 18/05/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |