9

Aura
4yo Filly · 8-9
Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-05 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 28/04/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |
| 13/05/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 30/06/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 44% | -0.38 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 05/07/2026 | 15th | 7/2 | 82% | 7% | -0.75 |