12
Deep Sea
8yo Mare · 8-8
Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y
#14
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |
| 13/07/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |