13

Golden Disc

4yo Filly · 8-7

Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 06/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1286/05C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 25/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 130C0 @ ParisLongchamp 19/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12119/06C?C5 @ Vichy 16/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 124C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 14/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 13314/08C?C5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 1243 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 1252/0432 @ ParisLongchamp 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Ver 119C5 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1249/06C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Compiegne?1st4th3
2026-05-03ParisLongchamp26th6th0
2026-04-02Chantilly34th5th1
2026-03-20Le Mans?2nd5th3
2025-08-14Le Lion D'angers?5th5th0
2025-07-16Vichy?2nd5th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0516/072/049/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/05/20252nd7/163%92%+0.29
25/05/20255th6/168%67%-0.02
19/06/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
16/07/20252nd6/594%89%-0.05
14/08/20255th8/1196%20%-0.76
20/03/20262nd8/1196%91%-0.05
02/04/20264th9/153%77%+0.24
03/05/20266th9/153%64%+0.12
09/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16