6
Melbora
6yo Mare · 8-11
Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 03/03/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 42% | -0.16 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |