16
Walma
4yo Filly · 8-6
Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 58% | -0.05 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |