14
Zvalikova
5yo Filly · 8-7
Clairefontaine · Racesdenormandie.com - Prix Robertet Handicap · 1m 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 20/09/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |