4
Emerald Enigma
6yo Mare · 11-7
Cork · www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 20
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength97%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |