6
Fraher Field
6yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 104
Cork · www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Killarney | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Down Royal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Wexford | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 20
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 07/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 11/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |