16

Kenny's Jewel

4yo Filly · 11-4

Cork · www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f

#13

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Timeform

Commentary

No promise in 3 hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 04/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f30y Sft 1474/11C?C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f200y Gd 14624/07C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?11th11th0
2025-11-04Fairyhouse?8th8th0
2025-10-12Cork?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1124/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 20
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/11/20258th80/10%46%+0.46
24/07/202611th80/10%29%+0.29