18

Neat As A Pin

4yo Filly · 11-4

Cork · www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f

#19

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

Timeform

Commentary

125/1, well held on completed start in maiden hurdles last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 14721/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?12th12th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 20
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/07/202612th125/10%21%+0.21