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Dairy Force

7yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 105

Cork · John O'Flynn Motors 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had finished runner-up 4 times in 6 starts before very creditable 12½ lengths fifth (doing best of those held up) in big-field Galway handicap 7 days ago. Has got his jumping together in recent starts and should give a good account off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA100 @ Clonmel 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 100 · 2m4f51y Yie 146 · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 100 par23/10100OR 100BHA102 @ Thurles 20/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 102 · 2m4f Yie 158 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 102 parBHA102 @ Fairyhouse 03/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 102 · 2m Sft 158 · below its mark03/02/2026 · OR 102 par3/02102OR 102BHA101 @ Downpatrick 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 101 · 2m1f165y Yie 157 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 101 parBHA104 @ Bellewstown 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 104 · 2m1f30y Yie 160 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 104 par18/04104OR 104BHA106 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 106 · 1m7f153y Goo 162 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 106 parBHA105 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 105 · 2m110y Gd 161 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 105 par2/07105OR 105BHA105 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 105 · 2m1f90y Gd 151 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 105 parBHA105 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR 105 · 2m130y Gd 161 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 105 par27/07105OR 105projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27GalwayBHA1055th5th0
2026-07-12SligoBHA1052nd2nd0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA1052nd2nd0
2026-05-15KilbegganBHA10612th12th0
2026-04-18BellewstownBHA1042nd2nd0
2026-04-12Down RoyalBHA1040

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1029/032/0727/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20252nd8/158%86%+0.28
20/11/20254th5/174%73%-0.01
03/02/20264th15/890%73%-0.17
29/03/20262nd7/491%89%-0.02
18/04/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
15/05/202612th10/147%15%-0.32
02/07/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37
12/07/20262nd17/255%91%+0.36
27/07/20265th10/147%79%+0.32