4
In The Trenches
6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 108
Cork · John O'Flynn Motors 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA110 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA108 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA111 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | BHA112 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |