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10

Le Diablo

5yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 98

Cork · John O'Flynn Motors 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark in handicap at Clonmel in April and turned in easily his best effort since when runner-up in similar event at Wexford last month. Still looked in reasonable heart when 10½ lengths third (behind Max Meridius) off this mark at Ballinrobe subsequently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 27/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m57y Gd 15427/05C?C8 @ Tipperary 03/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m4f90y Goo 153C8 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f100y Goo 1565/09C8BHA91 @ Clonmel 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 91 · 2m216y Yie 159 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 91 parBHA100 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 100 · 2m3f116y Goo 156 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 100 par14/05100OR 100BHA99 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 99 · 1m7f150y Goo 167 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 99 parBHA98 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 98 · 2m3f61y Goo 155 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 98 par5/0698OR 98BHA97 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 97 · 2m1f55y Gd 165 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 97 parBHA98 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 98 · 2m1f89y Gd 161 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 98 par21/0798OR 98projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA983rd3rd0
2026-07-03WexfordBHA972nd2nd0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA985th5th0
2026-05-31KilbegganBHA9911th11th0
2026-05-14ClonmelBHA1007th7th0
2026-04-14ClonmelBHA911st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0514/045/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20254th20/10%40%+0.40
03/07/202510th50/10%36%+0.36
05/09/20257th10/147%57%+0.10
14/04/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
14/05/20267th3/184%33%-0.51
31/05/202611th11/271%17%-0.54
05/06/20265th9/153%73%+0.21
03/07/20262nd16/116%92%+0.77
21/07/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04