12
Max Meridius
5yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 93
Cork · John O'Flynn Motors 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f
#11
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA56 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA56 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA86 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA88 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Clonmel | BHA91 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 08/01/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/01/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 26/02/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/05/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 39% | -0.16 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 52% | +0.37 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |