11
Midnight Eagle
6yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 96
Cork · John O'Flynn Motors 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA92 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA94 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA90 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Clonmel | BHA92 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Punchestown | BHA94 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 30/10/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 53% | -0.29 |
| 31/12/2025 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 02/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 16/04/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 14/06/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |