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16

Another Blunder

5yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 77

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f

#18

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten all 4 starts in maiden hurdles and lots more needed now handicapping back down markedly in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 31/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 15931/05C?C0 @ Cork 11/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m190y Gd 15911/07C?C8 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 2m159y Goo 15314/05C8C8 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 2m Yie 15928/05C8C0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f200y Goo 15115/06C?C8 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 2m6f180y Goo 15317/07C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Killarney?8th8th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?6th6th0
2026-05-28Limerick?13th13th0
2026-05-14Clonmel?12th12th0
2025-07-11Cork?10th10th0
2025-05-31Listowel?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0511/0714/0528/0515/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20257th66/10%54%+0.54
11/07/202510th125/10%40%+0.40
14/05/202612th125/10%35%+0.35
28/05/202613th250/10%29%+0.29
15/06/20266th200/10%29%+0.29
17/07/20268th300/10%50%+0.50