1
Codger's Rock
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |