11

Ina Mina

5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 82

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f

#3

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held all 4 starts in maiden hurdles but very much the type to do better now tackling a handicap in this sphere on the back of a break, with her opening mark looking potentially lenient based on her 2025 Flat form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA78 @ Down Royal 18/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m5f Goo 130 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 78 par18/0778OR 78BHA77 @ Galway 02/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 77 · 1m3f180y Yie 138 · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 77 parBHA77 @ Sligo 06/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 1m2f129y Goo 129 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 77 par6/0877OR 77BHA75 @ Tramore 16/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m4f Goo 139 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 75 parBHA73 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 73 · 1m3f175y Hvy 133 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 73 par20/1073OR 73C8 @ Limerick 27/12/2025 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR - · 2m4f Hvy 161C8 @ Clonmel 08/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 2m202y Hvy 1618/01C8C8 @ Naas 07/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f101y Sft 159C8 @ Naas 22/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR - · 1m7f110y Hvy 15922/02C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-22Naas?10th10th0
2026-02-07Naas?8th8th0
2026-01-08Clonmel?8th8th0
2025-12-27Limerick?15th15th0
2025-10-20Gowran ParkBHA733rd3rd0
2025-08-16TramoreBHA755th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0716/088/0122/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
02/08/20257th12/137%65%+0.28
06/08/20253rd7/282%60%-0.22
16/08/20255th9/488%50%-0.38
20/10/20253rd22/10%86%+0.86
27/12/202515th66/10%18%+0.18
08/01/20268th125/10%56%+0.56
07/02/20268th125/10%36%+0.36
22/02/202610th150/10%55%+0.55