18
Malbas
10yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 97
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C10.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA100 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA104 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA106 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA108 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Limerick | BHA109 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Gowran Park | BHA109 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/07/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 03/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 31/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/06/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |