4

Maxicourt

5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 90

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Unreliable sort but turned in best effort of the season when 3½ lengths third of 23 to Gino Bella in C&D handicap 24 days ago. Obvious claims if repeating that effort but comes with risks attached.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 25/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m Goo 16425/09C?C8 @ Tramore 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m Yie 165C8 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m Yie 1612/11C8C8 @ Cork 23/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 98 · 1m7f200y Yie 161 · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 98 parBHA98 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 24 · OR 98 · 2m4f Sft 156 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 98 par7/1298OR 98C8 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 97 · 2m26y Yie 166 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 97 parBHA95 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 95 · 2m80y Goo 163 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 95 par20/0495OR 95BHA93 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m3f50y Goo 149 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 93 parBHA88 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 23 · OR 88 · 2m1f60y Goo 156 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 par10/0788OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10CorkBHA883rd3rd0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA900
2026-05-10CorkBHA939th9th0
2026-04-20TramoreBHA958th8th0
2025-12-20Thurles?10th10th0
2025-12-07CorkBHA9814th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0923/1120/0410/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20257th100/10%65%+0.65
09/10/20252nd13/891%86%-0.06
02/11/20257th28/10%54%+0.54
23/11/20255th66/10%73%+0.73
07/12/202514th25/10%43%+0.43
20/12/202510th40/10%25%+0.25
20/04/20268th17/255%53%-0.02
10/05/20269th12/137%43%+0.06
10/07/20263rd28/10%91%+0.91