15
Nobody
5yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 78
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f
#17
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 10.9)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | Clonmel | BHA81 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-05-14 | Tipperary | BHA88 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-04-01 | Limerick | BHA93 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Gowran Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2024 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/06/2024 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/01/2025 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/02/2025 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 08/03/2025 | 16th | 300/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/04/2025 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/05/2025 | 16th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/12/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |