8
Scarlet Purse
7yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 85
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f
#15
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 10.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | Gowran Park | BHA88 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | BHA91 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | BHA93 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-12-27 | Limerick | BHA95 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Navan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-11-17 | Navan | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2024 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/09/2024 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/11/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/11/2024 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 07/12/2024 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/12/2024 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/12/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/12/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 22/01/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |