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5

Syosset

5yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 88

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good efforts when placed in handicaps at Roscommon and Wexford last month, in first-time hood when 3 lengths second of 10 to thriving Del Boys Diva last time. Up 3 lb but not yet fully exposed. One for the shortlist.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA87 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 87 · 2m1f165y Yie 153 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 87 par19/0987OR 87C8 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f Yie 139C8 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f95y Sft 13813/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 139BHA53 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 53 · 1m4f Std 136 · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 53 par14/1153OR 53BHA59 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 59 · 1m4f Std 141 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m4f Std 141 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 59 par6/0359OR 59BHA84 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 84 · 1m7f204y Gd 152 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 84 parBHA85 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 85 · 2m150y Gd 157 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 85 par23/0785OR 85projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23WexfordBHA852nd2nd0
2026-07-06RoscommonBHA843rd3rd0
2026-03-06DundalkBHA597th7th0
2025-11-21DundalkBHA593rd3rd0
2025-11-14DundalkBHA531st1st0
2025-10-24Dundalk?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0924/106/0323/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/202511th16/116%29%+0.13
27/09/202512th200/10%21%+0.21
13/10/20259th250/10%20%+0.20
24/10/202510th300/10%31%+0.31
14/11/20251st50/10%100%+1.00
21/11/20253rd7/163%85%+0.21
06/03/20267th9/153%54%+0.01
06/07/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
23/07/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20