10
Vairue
10yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f
#14
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA86 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-11-28 | Thurles | BHA87 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-11-17 | Navan | BHA88 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2024-10-04 | Gowran Park | BHA88 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Down Royal | BHA90 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2022-10-20 | Thurles | BHA87 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2022 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/08/2022 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 17/09/2022 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 20/10/2022 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 30/08/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 04/10/2024 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 17/11/2024 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 28/11/2024 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |