17

Who's Da Goose

4yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 88

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f

#16

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Timeform

Commentary

Inexpensive gelding who has finished mid-division at best in a trio of maiden hurdles. Makes handicap debut. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1539/05C8C8 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m Yie 1618/06C8C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 16110/07C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?8th8th0
2026-06-08Roscommon?5th5th0
2026-05-09Killarney?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/058/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20267th100/10%54%+0.54
08/06/20265th18/15%60%+0.55
10/07/20268th40/10%46%+0.46