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13

Crypto Crash

5yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 76

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f

#14

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who was well beaten again on the level 3 weeks ago. Cheekpieces back on over hurdles but they didn't help when tried previously.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA45 @ Tipperary 02/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 45 · 1m1f Goo 127 · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 45 par2/0745OR 45BHA45 @ Leopardstown 07/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 45 · 7f42y Goo 127 · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 45 parC8 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m Hvy 16618/11C8C8 @ Clonmel 02/12/2025 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f97y Hvy 158C8 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 19 · OR - · 2m200y Sft 1667/12C8BHA80 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 80 · 2m1f88y Gd 148 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 80 parBHA79 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 79 · 2m113y Goo 147 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 79 par5/0679OR 79BHA42 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 42 · 1m1f GF 124 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 42 parBHA40 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 40 · 1m3f103y Gd 122 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 40 par15/0740OR 40projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA4013th13th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA4210th10th0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA799th9th0
2026-05-04Down RoyalBHA806th6th0
2026-01-08ClonmelBHA820
2025-12-07Cork?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/072/125/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/202512th7/282%27%-0.55
07/08/20259th16/116%53%+0.37
18/11/202510th100/10%31%+0.31
02/12/202516th250/10%12%+0.12
07/12/202514th200/10%28%+0.28
04/05/20266th40/10%74%+0.74
05/06/20269th8/158%43%-0.15
18/06/202610th33/10%31%+0.31
15/07/202613th28/10%14%+0.14