10
El Regalo
5yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 81
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA81 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA58 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | BHA83 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA62 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | BHA63 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | BHA84 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2024 | 15th | 200/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 11/07/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/08/2025 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 11/05/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |