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6

Inchiquin Maid

7yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 88

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Better effort last season when second of 17 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (16f, good to soft) on return/stable debut. Has won an all-weather handicap on the Flat since and arrives fit from a spin at Tramore in that sphere earlier this month. Entitled to be thereabouts at her best.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA57 @ Dundalk 20/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 57 · 2m Std 124 · beat its mark20/12/2024 · OR 57 par20/1257OR 57BHA67 @ Dundalk 12/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 67 · 2m Std 136 · beat its mark12/02/2025 · OR 67 parBHA68 @ Dundalk 07/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 68 · 2m Std 156 · below its mark07/03/2025 · OR 68 par7/0368OR 68BHA67 @ Navan 08/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 67 · 1m6f Gd 137 · beat its mark08/04/2025 · OR 67 parC5 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 88 · 2m Goo 156 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 88 par26/09C5OR 88BHA89 @ Thurles 30/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 89 · 1m7f150y Goo 158 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 89 parBHA65 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m4f Std 153 · below its mark26/11/2025 · OR 65 par26/1165OR 65BHA61 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 61 · 2m Std 121 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 61 parBHA65 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 65 · 2m Goo 133 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 65 par7/0765OR 65projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07TramoreBHA6511th11th0
2026-02-11DundalkBHA611st1st0
2025-11-26DundalkBHA6510th10th0
2025-10-30ThurlesBHA895th5th0
2025-09-26Listowel?2nd2nd0
2025-04-08NavanBHA673rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/128/0426/117/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
12/02/20252nd6/492%83%-0.09
07/03/20256th15/261%58%-0.02
08/04/20253rd6/168%80%+0.12
26/09/20252nd11/271%94%+0.23
30/10/20255th7/282%76%-0.05
26/11/202510th20/10%31%+0.31
11/02/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
07/07/202611th10/147%0%-0.47